I get why everyone is seeing Florida blow out Louisville. I too faded this team down the stretch, but I just can not go against Louisville and Terry Bridgewater in this spot. Bridgewater is from Florida and has to have his motivation as a leader and around at a high level. Florida on the other hand has not been known this year for blowing teams out. They simply want to play quality defense and stay on the field on offense via their running game. Now Louisville could struggle against the run, but at times this year they have shown they can stop good running teams. They stopped North Carolina cold earlier in the seasonw ho is ranked 19th in rushing ypc average. North Carolina later in the year ran for over 5 yards per carry against a Maryland defense that was ranked 19th vs. the run so they certainly had a quality rushing team. I think Louisville can sell out to stop the run again this year and Florida is just bad enough at converting third downs (72nd in the nation) while Louisville themselves are ranked 19th on offense to stay on the field longer than the Gators.

When I look at what the Gators did this year you see some of their games against weak competition in Lafayette and Bowling Green where those two teams hung in there. Now if Louisville can limit the turnovers I don't see this team blowing Louisville off the field. As much as you can see this is the best rushing team Louisville has faced all year you can also say it's the best passing team that Florida has faced playing a run happy conference. Much of this secondary really has not been tested like Louisville can test them. So really both teams have one dimensional offenses going into this game which is why I really like the under here. Florida won't mess with the running game in my opinion they are ranked 124th which is last in the nation being sacked 12.92% of their drop backs. In addition Louisville only turned the ball over 12 times this year which should allow them to stay in the game.

Where to find Freddy?